Identifying young people at risk of becoming 'not in employment, education or training'

As part of implementing the actions for early identification of young people at risk of disengagement, the Welsh Government is setting core standards for early identification in Wales to support local authorities in developing their own approach. The analysis in this paper has been used to inform guidelines for developing effective pre-16 early identification systems, which are set out in the new Youth Engagement and Progression Framework.

The paper begins with a literature review on the variables for predicting young people at risk of disengaging from learning and becoming [not in employment, education or training] NEET. The review focused on literature from the United Kingdom and the United States. The paper then sets out definitions of disengagement from learning, how this relates to NEETs and the levels of NEETs in Wales. It compares demographic characteristics with school-based indicators for identifying young people at risk of disengaging and becoming NEET. In conclusion, it presents the results of the analysis of Welsh based data to explore the accuracy of demographic characteristics and school-based indicators in predicting pupils at risk of becoming NEET.

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