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This study investigates the ways in which young people's movements between education and work have changed over the last 30 years. It provides information on long-term education and labour market trends affecting 16 to 24 year olds.

Abstract from publisher's website.

This set of data comprises: (1) research paper; (2) summary; (3) literature review; (4) data for the analysis of long-term time trends of school-to-work transitions (spreadsheet); and (5) data table for age groups/cohorts covered in 2009 Labour Force Survey ad hoc modules (spreadsheet). Show less

This paper examines how young people's early transitions into the labour market have changed between cohorts born in 1958, 1970, 1980, and 1990. [The authors] use sequence analysis to characterise transition patterns and identify three distinct pathways in all cohorts. An 'Entering the Labour Market' group has declined significantly in size (from 91 per cent in the earliest cohort, to 37 per cent in the most recent), an 'Accumulating Human Capital' group has grown in its place (from four per cent to 51 per cent), but also a 'Potential Cause for Concern' group has grown alongside this, reaching 12 per cent in the most recent cohort. These trends appear to reflect behavioural rather than compositional changes. Females and those who are from a non-white ethnic background have gone from being more likely to be in the 'Potential Cause for Concern' group, to being less likely. Coming from a low socio-economic status background has remained a strong predictor of having a transition of this type across all four cohorts. These early transitions are important, not least since [the authors] show they are highly predictive of longer-term outcomes.

Published abstract. Show less