Methodological approaches for projecting completion rates for apprentices and trainees


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Author: Hall, Michelle; Harvey, Brian


This technical paper provides an evaluation of three alternative methodological approaches for calculating completion rate projections for apprentices and trainees. Projected rates are calculated for recently commencing cohorts because many contracts are still active, and the actual completion rate is not yet known. Completion rate projections were calculated for cohorts commencing in 2013, 2014, and 2015, and evaluated against actual completion rates for these cohorts. All three methods generated projections within five percentage points of actual completion rates. However, the work...  [+] Show more

Subjects: Apprenticeship; Traineeship; Participation; Statistics; Outcomes; Evaluation; Providers of education and training; Qualifications; Students; Vocational education and training

Keywords: Statistical method; Statistical analysis; Statistical data; Completion; Apprentice; Trainee; Apprenticeship contract; Data analysis; Data collection; Outcomes of education and training; Registered training organisation

Geographic subjects: Australia; Oceania

Published: Adelaide, South Australia: NCVER, 2021

Physical description: 28 p.

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ISBN: 9781925717785

Resource type: Report, paper or authored book

Document number: TD/TNC 144.17

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